EVIDENCE | placement frontier

LIVE

This page separates evidence by where it came from. Table 1 is computed by this server, live, on small 1024×1024 crops. Table 2 is full 10,980×10,980 resolution: LIVE rows were computed by this server, RECORDED rows were measured on a laptop and recorded in EVIDENCE.md — they are not recomputed here. Edge rows marked MEASURED were timed on a physical Raspberry Pi 4B (its power draw is still an estimate, not metered); rows marked SIMULATED are modeled from the ground baseline. No row used space-qualified hardware.

1 · Live small-crop runs — computed on this server

7 of 7 workloads measured
WorkloadDatasetDRFGround ₹/runEdge ₹/runCallBreak-even runs/dayBreak-even ₹/GBEdge timing
SatNOGS Payload Anomaly Proxy satnogs 7.6× 0.00 164.38 GROUND 129864.2 64,948,068 MEASURED Raspberry Pi 4B (measured)
Sentinel-2 NDVI Summary GHRCE agricultural region (Nagpur) 6314.6× 1.68 164.38 GROUND 98.1 49,125 MEASURED Raspberry Pi 4B (measured)
Cloud Mask GHRCE agricultural region (Nagpur) 5750.4× 1.67 164.38 GROUND 98.2 49,126 MEASURED Raspberry Pi 4B (measured)
Ship Detect Mumbai/JNPT coastal water 669.7× 0.76 164.38 GROUND 217.1 108,586 MEASURED Raspberry Pi 4B (measured)
Sentinel-2 Land-cover Classifier GHRCE agricultural region (Nagpur) 3681.8× 1.67 164.38 GROUND 98.2 49,130 MEASURED Raspberry Pi 4B (measured)
Sentinel-2 Lossless Recompress GHRCE agricultural region (Nagpur) 1.1× 1.68 165.96 GROUND 1606.4 846,739 MEASURED Raspberry Pi 4B (measured)
Sentinel-2 Quicklook Thumbnail GHRCE agricultural region (Nagpur) 16.6× 1.67 164.48 GROUND 104.5 52,259 MEASURED Raspberry Pi 4B (measured)

At this crop size (~3 MB) the fixed edge hardware charge (₹164.38/run at 1 run/day) dwarfs any downlink saving, so ground wins for every workload. That is the honest small-payload answer, not a failure.

2 · Full-tile runs — LIVE rows computed here, RECORDED rows measured locally

10,980 × 10,980 px
WorkloadSourceInput MBDRFGround ₹/runEdge ₹/runCallBreak-even runs/dayBreak-even ₹/GB
Cloud Mask RECORDED 384.0 653,113.83× 192.07 164.38 EDGE 0.86 427.90
Sentinel-2 NDVI Summary RECORDED 384.0 709,853.85× 192.20 164.38 EDGE 0.86 427.56
Quicklook Thumbnail RECORDED 384.0 16.48× 192.09 176.03 EDGE 0.91 455.48
Lossless Recompress RECORDED 384.0 1.05× 192.41 346.61 GROUND 16.15 8,377.98
Ship Detect (coastal, 1 band) RECORDED 180.4 69,580.68× 90.20 164.38 GROUND 1.82 911.35
Land-cover Classifier RECORDED 384.0 NOT MEASURED — exceeded the local machine's memory at full-tile scale; needs a chunked rewrite or a larger host.

Edge wins on three workloads at full resolution — and the margin is small (₹16–28 per run). Edge cost is simulated (a fixed hardware charge plus electricity), not measured on real edge silicon.

What the frontier shows

Data-reduction factor alone does not decide placement. Ship Detect has the highest DRF measured (69,580×) and still recommends ground, because its input is only 180 MB: the downlink it saves (~₹90) never clears the flat ₹164.38 edge hardware charge. Edge starts to win when the input is large enough that avoided downlink exceeds that charge (about 329 MB at ₹500/GB) and the output is small. Lossless Recompress, with a ~1× DRF, stays on ground at any scale.

What this does not prove

Edge timing has been measured on one Raspberry Pi 4B only (one run set, power estimated, not metered) — no space-qualified hardware has been measured. The edge hardware cost and 1 run/day duty cycle are assumptions; the result flips with either. Inputs are two Sentinel-2 scenes (agricultural and coastal). There is no customer workload yet.